Bitget Research Institute: The U.S. July PPI and CPI data will be released this week, and the market is at risk of falling in the short term due to risk aversion

avatar
Bitget研究院
1 months ago
This article is approximately 1193 words,and reading the entire article takes about 2 minutes
In the past 24 hours, the price of BTC fluctuated around $59,000, and the market was in a stage of upward adjustment. ETH/BTC briefly pulled back, and there were obvious intraday trading opportunities in the market.

In the past 24 hours, many new popular currencies and topics have appeared in the market, which may be the next opportunity to make money, including:

  • Sectors with strong wealth-creating effects are: New public chain sector, Solana Meme coin;

  • Hot search tokens and topics among users are: SUI, Optimism;

  • Potential airdrop opportunities include: Symbiotic, Yescoin;

Data statistics time: August 13, 2024 4: 00 (UTC + 0)

1. Market environment

In the past 24 hours, BTC fluctuated around $59,000, and the intraday fluctuations narrowed significantly, indicating that the staged rebound may encounter pressure. The ETH/BTC exchange rate has rebounded significantly. The community is worried that Bitgo may have centralization risks due to its control by Justin Sun; this directly caused WBTC to be weakly decoupled from BTC. AAVE directly closed the WBTC pool, and large investors directly sold WBTC on the chain for ETH, which led to a rebound in the exchange rate.

From a macro perspective, the United States will release the July PPI and CPI data on Tuesday and Wednesday of this week, with the PPI expected to grow by 0.2% monthly and the CPI expected to grow by 3.0% annually. According to CME data, the market currently predicts that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 and 50 basis points in September is 49.5% and 50.5% respectively. The PPI and CPI data will greatly affect the markets prediction of the extent of future interest rate cuts, and the impact on the US dollar index and US bonds is more obvious. Crypto assets may have the risk of downward adjustment before the data is released, and investors need to be alert to the risks.

2. Wealth-creating sector

1) Sector changes: New public chain sectors (SUI, SEI, APT)

main reason:

  • The new public chain sector has been falling and consolidating for a long time. In the environment of oversold market rebound, it was the first to attract the attention of funds;

  • ETH has been too weak recently, and institutions have frequently sold ETH in the secondary market. Funds have deployed new public chains, and there is a consensus among funds.

  • Grayscale recently launched SUIs crypto investment trust, which may directly bring in net capital inflows in the future

Rising situation: SUI, SEI, and APT rose by 71%, 21%, and 20% respectively in the past week;

Factors affecting the market outlook:

  • ETH subsequent trend: ETH is the core competitor of the new public chain. If institutions continue to sell ETH and the ETH/BTC exchange rate continues to fall, funds will form a consensus that the next public chain ecosystem that can carry users is needed. Therefore, the layout space of the new public chain is generated;

  • Trend of ecological assets: Pay attention to whether the tokens within the ecosystem follow the rise. For example, the rise of SUI tokens will lead to a general rise in its ecological assets. Generally speaking, the trend can continue. However, if SUI rises and the ecological tokens begin to fall, it will generally lead to a fall in the public chain tokens.

2) The sectors that need to be focused on in the future: SOL Meme Coin (WIF, BONK, POPCAT)

main reason:

  • The price of SOL is relatively stable, standing firmly at the integer mark of 140 US dollars; the DEX trading volume on Solana has reached a new high recently, and funds are relatively active, driving the rise of ecological projects.

Specific currency list:

  • WIF: Solana ecosystem’s Meme coin, which was previously listed on Robinhood. The SOL token has risen, and generally the MEME coins at the top of Solana have risen more rapidly.

  • BONK, POPCAT: The core meme coins on Solana. The transaction volume has increased recently. The transaction demand is relatively high, and there is room for token layout.

3. User Hot Searches

1) Popular Dapps

Optimism:

Optimism developers have unveiled a roadmap to build an interoperable communication layer between Layer 2 chains in their Superchain ecosystem, which will include a messaging protocol, a Superchain token standard (Superchain ERC 20), interoperable fault proofs, and a set of interoperable chains.

2) Twitter

Bitget Research Institute: The U.S. July PPI and CPI data will be released this week, and the market is at risk of falling in the short term due to risk aversion

SUI:

SUI has been active recently, rising 65% in the past 7 days. Grayscale launched new crypto investment products for SUI and TAO; a week ago, SUI will integrate the DAG-based consensus algorithm Mysticeti, which not only decouples latency from throughput, but also maintains extremely high throughput to improve network performance and security. The TVL of SUIs leading lending projects NAVI Protocol and Scallop have risen by +120% and +50% respectively in the past 7 days. With SUI subsidies, the USDC and USDT Supply APY on NAVI Protocol and Scallop have reached 15%-25%.

3) Google Search Region

yw

From a global perspective:

SUI has been explained above.

From the hot searches in each region:

(1) In Asia: The event of Musk and Trump opening a Twitter Space attracted a lot of attention, and DOGE was on the hot search in Indonesia and Malaysia; the top hot search in Singapore was SHIB, followed by AI tokens OLAS and FET; RWA Crypto and ONDO tokens were on the hot search in Hong Kong, Vietnam, the Philippines and Singapore.

(2) In European and American countries, the hot search terms are relatively scattered and have no universal characteristics. For example, in France, MAGA, ORDI, SUI, and VRA are on the hot search list; in Belgium, SHIB and ONDO; in Switzerland, RENDER, CELO, FLOKI, and PEPE are on the hot search list.

(3) In addition to the TON ecosystem buzzwords in the CIS region, Solana ecosystem LST projects Sanctum and Debank also became popular searches in Russia.

Potential Airdrop Opportunities

Symbiotic

Symbiotic is a general-purpose Restaking project that has completed its seed round of financing, with Paradigm and Cyber Fund participating in the investment. The financing amount is US$5.8 million, and Symbiotics TVL has exceeded $1 B.

The project has launched its development network on the Ethereum Holesky testnet, with a mainnet launch planned for later in Q3. The team noted that projects including Ethena, LayerZero, and Bolt are already exploring the platform, which also features a customizable modular design that can accommodate any combination of tokens as collateral for re-hypothecation.

Specific participation method: Go to the projects official website, link your wallet, and deposit ETH and ETH LSD assets. Currently, Symbiotics pledge quota is full, and you can wait for the project to open the deposit quota next time.

Yescoin

TG Mini App high traffic project Yescoin will hold Yes Summer from August. The Yes Summer event announcement will cooperate with a large number of project parties and exchange wallets to distribute a total of 1,000,000 USD rewards: https://x.com/Yescoin_Fam/status/1818913140295581817

Currently working with Bitget Wallet: https://x.com/BitgetWallet/status/1821870001504317941, you can get future token airdrops and 100,000 $BGB rewards by completing activities such as opening treasure chests, inviting friends, and learning blockchain in Bitget Wallet.

Original link: https://www.bitget.fit/zh-CN/research/articles/12560603814253

【Disclaimer】The market is risky, so be cautious when investing. This article does not constitute investment advice, and users should consider whether any opinions, views or conclusions in this article are suitable for their specific circumstances. Investing based on this information is at your own risk.

Original article, author:Bitget研究院。Reprint/Content Collaboration/For Reporting, Please Contact report@odaily.email;Illegal reprinting must be punished by law.

ODAILY reminds readers to establish correct monetary and investment concepts, rationally view blockchain, and effectively improve risk awareness; We can actively report and report any illegal or criminal clues discovered to relevant departments.

Recommended Reading
Editor’s Picks