Analysis: After the US Stock Market Plunge, It's Still Too Early to Determine Whether a Bear Market Has Begun

Odaily reports: Charu Chanana, Chief Investment Strategist at Saxo, said in a commentary that after Wall Street's sharp overnight decline, it is still too early to assert that the market has entered a bear market. She noted that such market declines often reflect investor panic, forced liquidations, and deteriorating market sentiment. Although the sell-off has spread to the broader market, the current shock is mainly concentrated in factors such as the AI investment cycle, regulatory uncertainty, and excessive concentration of positions.

More noteworthy is whether market weakness will further spread to corporate earnings, credit conditions, employment, and economic growth. However, extreme selling may also create conditions for a market rebound. She added: "Once selling pressure eases, the market may rebound quickly, sometimes even before economic data show obvious improvement."

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Morgan Stanley transfers nearly 9,300 SOL to Coinbase over the past two days, suspected of selling
Odaily reports: According to Arkham monitoring, Morgan Stanley has transferred a total of 9,297 SOL to Coinbase over the past two days through its Solana exchange-traded fund MSOL, suspected of selling. It currently still holds approximately 510,000 SOL, valued at $45.79 million.In addition, Morgan Stanley yesterday spent $3.41 million through its Bitcoin exchange-traded fund MSBT to buy the dip with 43 BTC, bringing its total Bitcoin holdings to 10,893 BTC.
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Before the release of nonfarm payroll data, a U.S. stock sell-off drove capital toward Treasuries
Odaily reports: Ahead of Friday's release of the U.S. October nonfarm payrolls report, bond traders have already bet that the U.S. Treasury market will rise further, while market expectations for the Federal Reserve to continue raising rates have continued to cool. After the U.S. midterm elections, global stock markets suffered a sell-off, driving investors toward U.S. Treasuries this week as a safe haven, and the 10-year Treasury yield fell on Thursday to its lowest level since early September.As the stock market sell-off intensified further, the 10-year Treasury yield stood at 4.82% on Friday. The recent rally in the bond market has strengthened traders' confidence that yields will fall further. One options market trade bets that the 10-year Treasury yield could fall to 4.7% by the end of next week; another trade expiring on November 20 bets that the yield will fall to about 4.35%.Gennadiy Goldberg, head of U.S. rates strategy at TD Securities, said the data due Friday is expected to be slightly weak, but the market is still mainly focused on economic fundamentals. He noted that the U.S. economy remains quite strong and the labor market is showing a "low hiring, low layoffs" pattern, so the market has already sharply reduced rate hike expectations over the past few weeks.
US stock futures show mixed performance pre-market, Nvidia up 2.9%
Odaily reports: According to MSX.COM data, in pre-market trading, Dow futures fell 0.8%, S&P 500 futures rose 0.24%, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 1.1%. Some chip stocks rebounded: AMD (AMD.O) rose 5.3%, TSMC (TSM.N) rose 5.3%, Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose 2.9%, and Broadcom (AVGO.O) rose 3.8%. SpaceX (SPCX.O) and Tesla (TSLA.O) rebounded 2% and 1.4% pre-market, respectively.
South Korean crypto exchange Gopax announces suspension of all trading services, transferring user assets to cold wallets
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Investment Guru Says Nvidia Is Following Cisco's Path, and the Circular Financing Will Eventually End in a Bursting Bubble
Odaily reports: Former Fidelity investment fund manager George Noble warned on Thursday that Nvidia is heading down a path similar to the dot-com bubble burst by "propping up" customers who purchase its artificial intelligence (AI) hardware. In a post on social media, Noble noted that Nvidia currently accounts for about 8% of the S&P 500, double the weight Cisco held at the peak of the dot-com bubble in 2000. He believes the semiconductor giant is repeating the same mistakes, falling into the "exact same" trap that dealt a devastating blow to Cisco more than two decades ago.
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