Analysis: Largest Bitcoin Supply Cluster Above $84K Could Determine the Next Trend

Odaily reports, according to OKX market data, BTC has broken through 84,000 USDT and is now trading at 84,036.3 USDT, with a 24H gain of 1.17%.

Odaily reports that PaperTrade posted on X stating that trading volume in the first 6 hours after launch exceeded stock market trading volume; one day after launch, PaperTrade has become a trading platform supporting 1000x leverage, with liquidity pool (LP) size reaching $5 million and $25 million in rewards distributed to staking users.In response to community concerns about the fair launch mechanism and BTC/ETH market manipulation, PaperTrade stated that due to the need to prevent frontend congestion and spam request attacks, small orders cannot enjoy exactly the same priority as large orders, and the team has maximized fairness within these constraints. Some users exploiting the Hyperliquid BBO mechanism to manipulate BTC/ETH was not an oversight in mechanism design, but rather resulted from opening a higher OI cap during the initial launch period to alleviate queuing pressure. As traffic has declined, the team has begun tightening position limits at both the on-chain and relay levels to reduce the profit space for manipulation.PaperTrade added that no system can completely eliminate manipulation, and the goal is to make attacks nearly unprofitable through parameter adjustments, noting that in the relevant incidents, some users ultimately returned most of their profits to the platform due to persistent manipulation attempts.

Odaily reports: Crypto analyst Darkfost stated on X that when Bitcoin's price reached $83,000, approximately 53% of capital costs were positioned above that price, meaning current buyers' holding costs are higher than those of more than half of market participants. Currently, the $84,000 to $85,000 range represents Bitcoin's largest supply distribution zone, where many investors will react at this critical price level. This area is a key resistance level that Bitcoin needs to break through for its subsequent trend; if the price pulls back, the $79,000 to $77,000 range may become a potential support zone.

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Odaily News: U.S. President Trump stated that effective immediately, the Russia-Ukraine war has reached an "energy ceasefire." Both sides have agreed that no destruction shall take place. (Sina Finance)

Odaily reports: Crypto trader Killa posted that the most ideal path for Bitcoin (BTC) would be to continue rising before the US midterm elections, building a bullish narrative and breaking previous highs, then experiencing a pullback after the elections as has occurred in historical cycles — but this time the pullback may not form a new cycle low, instead establishing a higher low.Killa stated that if BTC declines before the midterm elections, he believes the market is more likely to rebound to around $95,000 after the elections. The market has already seen nearly $2 billion in long positions liquidated, and there are only about 3 weeks remaining until the US midterm elections. The market may currently be experiencing a "maximum pain" scenario: after some market narratives have already been broken, BTC rebounds before the elections, then reverses course to pressure traders on the other side, ultimately leading the market to re-deleverage risk.Killa pointed out that in the past 4 US midterm elections, 3 saw declines within 1-2 months after the elections, with historical samples showing a probability of approximately 75%. However, he said he still holds a 10x BTC long position, as well as long positions previously established at $62,600 and $76,400, none of which have been reduced.