Odaily News: IcoBeast.eth, Head of Crypto at Kalshi, posted on X stating that the Artemis chart displays prediction market trading volume share, not perpetual futures trading volume; Kalshi does not offer rebates for crypto prediction markets, and its contract count and notional value calculation methods are consistent with other prediction markets.Regarding claims that self-clearing members are selected by Kalshi as market makers, IcoBeast.eth stated this is untrue—any institution meeting regulatory requirements can become a self-clearing member of a CFTC-regulated exchange. He noted that exchanges such as CME, Hyperliquid, and Binance all improve liquidity through rebates and incentive programs; Kalshi's perpetual futures business is still in its early stages, and relevant incentive programs must be publicly filed and are available for public review.

Odaily News: According to an official announcement, Binance Auto-Invest will support the following stocks and ETFs starting September 17, 2026 at 10:00 (UTC): ABNB, ACN, ADI, ADP, AEM, AEP, ALL, AMGN, AMT, AMX, ANET, AON, APD, APH, APO, APP, ASX, AXP, AZN, B, BA, BAM, BBVA, BCS, BE, BHP, BKNG, BMO, BMY, BN, BNS, BNY, BP, BTI, BUD, CAT, CB, CDNS, CEG, CI, CL, CM, CMCSA, CME, CMI, CNI, CNQ, COF, COP, CP, CRWD, CSCO, CSX, CTAS, CVS, DASH, DB, DDOG, DE, DELL, DLR, DUK, E, ECL, ELV, EMR, ENB, EOG, EQIX, EQNR, ETN, FCX, FDX, FTNT, GD, GE, GEV, GILD, GLW, GM, GOOG, GSK, HCA, HDB, HLT, HON, HPE, HSBC, HWM, IBM, IBN, ICE, IMO, ING, ITUB, ITW, JCI, KKR, KMI, LIN, LITE, LMT, LOW, LYG, MAR, MCK, MCO, MDLZ, MDT, MELI, MFC, MFG, MMM, MNST, MO, MPC, MRSH, MRVL, MSI, MUFG, NEE, NEM, NET, NGG, NOC, NSC, NTES, NU, NVO, NVS, NWG, ORLY, PBR, PBR.A, PCAR, PDD, PGR, PH, PLD, PM, PNC, PSX, PWR, RACE, RCL, REGN, RIO, ROST, RSG, RTX, RY, SAN, SAP, SCCO, SE, SHEL, SHOP, SHW, SKHY, SLB, SMFG, SNDK, SNPS, SNY, SO, SONY, SPCX, SPG, SPGI, SPOT, STX, SU, SYK, T, TD, TGT, TJX, TM, TMO, TMUS, TRP, TRV, TT, TTE, UBER, UBS, UL, UNP, UPS, USB, VLO, VRT, VRTX, VZ, WBD, WDC, WELL, WM, WMB, WPM.

Odaily News: According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its October meeting is 50.2%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 49.8%.

Odaily reports, according to CME's "FedWatch": After the Fed raised rates as expected in September, the probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% at its October meeting is 59.5%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 40.1%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate hike is 0.5%. The probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% by December is 16.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 54.0%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 28.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate hike is 0.3%. (Jinshi)

Odaily reports: Axel Adler Jr. posted on X that CME's "FedWatch" data shows a 92.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike at the Fed's September meeting, with the target rate range potentially rising to 3.75%–4.00%. Among the seven previous first rate hikes since 1988, the S&P 500 declined six weeks later in five of those instances, with an average drop of 2.83%. The market has largely priced in this rate hike expectation; if the Fed signals a faster pace of rate increases or that higher rates will be maintained for longer, US stocks and Bitcoin could come under further pressure.

Odaily: CoinShares Head of Research James Butterfill said that Bitcoin is currently facing both short-term bearish and medium-term bullish factors. U.S. August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, higher than market expectations; CME FedWatch data shows that market bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike at the next meeting briefly reached 85%, and this data may limit Bitcoin's short-term upside.

1. "First set 10 major goals": The bullish trend remains unchanged;2. The probability of the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points next week surges to 85%;3. Bonk Guy under siege from STONK community, clarifies that buying EMBER is not a challenge to STONK;4. Wang Chun responds to lawsuit: Clawing back ETH rewards would threaten Ethereum's "credible neutrality";5. Robinhood Crypto suspected of mislabeling INDEX token, in-app chart inconsistent with CoinGecko data;6. "White-haired stock guru" Serenity blasts X: Beware of becoming a "paid engagement farming" marketing network;7. Zhipu launches $5 billion funding round, plans to expand AI compute and infrastructure;8. Tax classification still undetermined, Kalshi Bitcoin perpetual contracts recognized by CFTC as futures, CME says they are swaps;9. US Senator Warren sends letter to NAIC questioning regulatory loopholes;10. Japanese Bitcoin treasury company Metaplanet to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary in Hong Kong with initial capital of $1 million;11. AI entity operations platform Motive completes $1.3 billion funding round and abandons NYSE listing plans.

Odaily News: Before the release of U.S. August CPI data, according to CME's "FedWatch": the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through September is 30.6%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 69.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through October is 19.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 54.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 26.1%.

Odaily News: Bitcoin News posted on X platform that after the CFTC approved Kalshi's Bitcoin perpetual contracts as futures products, uncertainty remains over how traders should report gains to the IRS. If the product is recognized as a regulated futures contract under Section 1256 of the U.S. tax code, the related gains are typically treated as 60% long-term capital gains and 40% short-term capital gains, regardless of the holding period. CME believes that Kalshi's perpetual contracts are actually swaps, and swaps are explicitly outside the scope of Section 1256. The CFTC's classification supports the view that they are futures products, but it is not binding on the IRS. Until the IRS, U.S. Congress, or courts directly address Bitcoin perpetual contracts, their tax treatment remains undetermined.

Odaily News: Markets have increased their bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike at next week's meeting. The first key inflation report released this week showed that U.S. producer prices rose 5.4% in the 12 months through August. Before the report was released, the market expected about a 65% probability that the Fed would raise rates by 25 basis points at its September 15-16 meeting. According to the price of federal funds futures contracts on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), the market now expects that probability to have risen to about 70%.