Interpretation of Virtuals Genesis data: The average return on new shares is 32 times, and the degree of oversubscription is strongly correlated with returns

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深潮TechFlow
1 days ago
This article is approximately 623 words,and reading the entire article takes about 1 minutes
Just focus on earning points, and aim for high-demand items.

Original author: The Smart Ape

Original translation: TechFlow

It’s unclear how long this craze will last, but @virtuals_io ’s Genesis project is undoubtedly one of the most profitable options at the moment.

They seem to have cracked the code to wealth, delivering amazing returns (x 100, x 60, etc.) that are unexpectedly stable.

The following is a detailed analysis of the gameplay:

Interpretation of Virtuals Genesis data: The average return on new shares is 32 times, and the degree of oversubscription is strongly correlated with returns

A month ago, Virtuals launched “Genesis Launches,” essentially a $VIRTUAL-based launchpad for AI agents.

So far, about 24 AI agent projects have been launched, and almost every one of them has brought amazing returns, ranging from x4 to x128, with an average of x32.

Interpretation of Virtuals Genesis data: The average return on new shares is 32 times, and the degree of oversubscription is strongly correlated with returns

To be considered a successful launch, projects need to raise at least 112K $VIRTUAL (this is the minimum standard). There is no upper limit, and some projects have even been oversubscribed by more than 2000%.

The data shows that there is a strong correlation between the oversubscription ratio (which is public information) and the pre-sale multiples.

Any project that was oversubscribed by more than 1,000% delivered huge returns.

Interpretation of Virtuals Genesis data: The average return on new shares is 32 times, and the degree of oversubscription is strongly correlated with returns

It can be clearly seen from the chart that there is an almost linear relationship between the subscription ratio and the earnings multiple.

The logic is also simple: oversubscription of 1000%+ means extremely high demand.

Interpretation of Virtuals Genesis data: The average return on new shares is 32 times, and the degree of oversubscription is strongly correlated with returns

Since the presale supply is fixed, a high subscription ratio means that buyers will ultimately receive fewer tokens.

Many people are unhappy with the small allocation and may continue to buy into the project when it goes live, including those who missed the presale entirely.

Even if you maximize your quota, an increase in the number of participants will still dilute your allocation.

For example, in the recent $ARBUS presale, I invested all 566 $VIRTUAL, but ended up using only 18 $VIRTUAL, with the rest returned.

I could have gotten a larger share of tokens if there were fewer participants.

Interpretation of Virtuals Genesis data: The average return on new shares is 32 times, and the degree of oversubscription is strongly correlated with returns

Disadvantage: More heat = smaller allocation, even if you have a lot of points.

Pros: All tokens are 100% unlocked at launch.

You can sell it right away, but there is a catch.

If you choose to sell and take a profit, you will trigger a 7-10 day cool down period during which your points will be reduced.

The more you earn, the more points you lose.

This mechanism effectively reduces selling pressure, which is one of the reasons why some projects will rise sharply after going online.

Interpretation of Virtuals Genesis data: The average return on new shares is 32 times, and the degree of oversubscription is strongly correlated with returns

Your points directly impact your ability to profit from Genesis.

More points = bigger allotments = higher potential earnings.

With around 80 million points distributed every day, there are a number of ways to earn them.

The smartest strategy is: accumulate points and only participate in presales that are oversubscribed 1000%+.

In this way, your profit multiple can reach at least x 40+.

After the token is launched, choose the right time to sell it to reap huge profits.

Interpretation of Virtuals Genesis data: The average return on new shares is 32 times, and the degree of oversubscription is strongly correlated with returns

Accept the points reduction after the sale and be patient for the cooling-off period.

Focus on high-heat projects, avoid frequent cooling, pursue big profits, and use the interval time to earn more points.

Of the 24 tokens that have been launched, only 6 projects have an oversubscription ratio of more than 1000%, accounting for about a quarter, which occurs approximately once every two weeks.

Who wouldn’t want to get x 50 or x 100 every few weeks?

While you wait, accumulate more points and prepare for the next opportunity.

Interpretation of Virtuals Genesis data: The average return on new shares is 32 times, and the degree of oversubscription is strongly correlated with returns

Of course, this model won’t last forever, and its effects may wane as more people learn how to game the system.

But for now, this approach still works and may continue to work for a few months.

Just focus on earning points, and aim for high-demand items.

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