Gate Research: Polymarket Growth Accelerates, Gate Positions Itself as a New Entry Point for Prediction Markets
Gate 研究院
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Against the backdrop of continuously amplified trading demand driven by political, sports, and geopolitical events, coupled with an expanded fee scope on the platform, Polymarket's trading volume and active users are exhibiting event-driven structural growth. However, high revenue does not equate to long-term validation. Currently, it functions more as a trading market activated by high-attention events rather than a broadly distributed, general-purpose platform. Gate, on the other hand, enters the prediction market by leveraging its account system, low entry barriers, and product integration capabilities, offering an alternative, more easily convertible on-ramp beyond the native on-chain path.
摘要
• Polymarket 交易量與活躍用戶總體同步上行，平台並非只靠少數大户放大數據，但留存仍明顯受熱點週期影響。
• 費用和收入的上升既來自交易需求，也來自 2026 年第一季以來逐步擴大的收費範圍與費率制度變化。
• 平台交易高度集中於政治、體育和地緣政治等少數高關注賽道，長尾類別暫時難以獨立支撐整體流動性。
• Polymarket 同時具有信息市場與情緒市場屬性，但當前更像在高注意力窗口中被激活的事件交易場。
